Happy new years you gorgeous souls, on this weeks episode we talk about the upcoming EU Election.
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Also, have you considered Matteo Renzi?
And When did Panic! At the Disco become audibly indistinguishable from Maroon 5?!
The election is happening in May between the 23rd and 26th.
It varies from country to country, but they all use some form of proportional representation (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elections_to_the_European_Parliament#Voting_system). Some have national party-lists (which are garbage) and some have big constituencies (Like Ireland, Belgium). Some countries use STV instead of party lists (Like Ireland and Malta). Germany, Italy and Poland use what appears to me to be an intentionally complicated system...
Europe Elects has a well updated list of candidates (https://europeelects.eu/2019spitzenkandidaten/). A party's candidate matters in a similar way to a prime minister candidate, but local politics will be more important in most countries. National parties do campaigning under their own banner usually, not the grouping they fall into in the EU parliament, the effect will vary county to country.
Also there's still the looming possibility the Spitzenkandidat of the largest EU party doesn't actually get the commission president job anyway. The Council in theory puts forward commission presidents to the parliament, who have a veto.
The parliament has launched a website (https://what-europe-does-for-me.eu/) to explain why the EU is so cool.
For instance if you're someone who "likes shopping online" the EU is totally for you - https://what-europe-does-for-me.eu/en/portal/2/G04
... Yes this will create an improved voter turnout. The 2014 election had only a turnout of 163,551,013 (42.54%)
There a three great aggregators of polls:
https://europeanelectionsstats.eu/ They have a good seat projection based on a combination of national polls and PollofPolls.eu. They also put parties into general buckets of far right, left and moderate
https://pollofpolls.eu/EU which has some trend lines based on national polling. They handily show major events on their graphs to explain changes. Along with that they provide analysis
Europe Elects (https://europeelects.eu/ep2019/) some nice seat projections based on similar data sources. Their maps are great showing EU party projections by country.
General outcome:
The polls underestimated the EPP and ALDE in the last election by quite a bit https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_European_Parliament_election
His current popularity means they might get very few MEPs.. so Macron's agenda will probably go nowhere? It depends, if ALDE end up as part of the ruling coalition it might be because of his support - but really anything could happen. En Marche may be a toxic association by May at this rate
I guess Brexit could just not happen... who knows... that'd really ruin all the hard work people have put into seat projections
##Parties are actually called Groupings but the effective difference is...something
Here are the links to each "party" mentioned
http://www.guengl.eu/
https://www.greens-efa.eu/en/
https://www.socialistsanddemocrats.eu/
https://alde.eu/en/
https://www.eppgroup.eu/
https://www.ecrgroup.eu/
http://www.efddgroup.eu/
https://www.enfgroup-ep.eu/
##Things you can do
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